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Analysis of the 2026 energy shock

In-depth, fully sourced analysis of oil, gas and fertiliser markets, and practical guides to physical energy trading.

51 articles · 873 cited sources · 10 topics

A crude oil tanker sailing in open water

Analysis · · 7 min read

Who Buys Iranian Oil? Iran’s Crude Customers and Trade Flows Explained

China's independent refiners have bought the large majority of Iran's crude exports in recent years, a sharp change from 2017, when buyers ranged from India, South Korea and Japan to Türkiye and Europe. In 2026 the regional conflict and the US naval blockade of Iranian ports cut China's imports of Iranian oil to their lowest level since January 2023, and buyers have turned to Iraqi, Qatari and other grades. We explain who buys Iranian oil, how its pricing has shifted and what this means for Asian crude markets.

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What energy leaders are saying

Verified remarks from industry leaders, with links to the original reports.

“I personally don't see any credible pathway that 2027 will be a year of normalisation”

Fatih Birol

Executive Director, International Energy Agency (IEA)

Financial Times Energy Transition conference, London ·
Source: AFP via L’Orient Today (opens in a new tab)

“Commercial onshore inventories are now well below six billion barrels, and they are the last available buffer.”

Amin H. Nasser

President & CEO, Saudi Aramco

25th WPC Energy Congress, Riyadh ·
Source: Aramco — speech text (opens in a new tab)

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